Die wachsenden Weltmärkte für Klimaschutzgüter und -dienstleistungen
Blazejczak, Jürgen; Dietmar Edler, Walter Kahlenborn, Manuel Linsenmeier, Malte Oehlmann, Kerstin Bacher, Kora Töpfer, Ulrike Lehr, Christian Lutz, Anne Nieters, Markus Flaute, Ralph Büchele and Gordon Wolgam
The Paris agreement contains the global goal to keep global warming below two degrees Celsius compared to preindustrial levels or even limit it to no more than 1.5 degrees Celsius. To achieve this goal, an ambitious climate action is needed. German producers of climate action goods that are exporting their goods can especially benefit from global climate action.
This study analyses the growing world markets for climate action goods and services up to 2030. This is done by comparing a 2°- and a business-as-usual (BAU)-scenario. Assuming a current global market volume for climate action goods of about 1,900 billion Euros, the market volume in the BAU-scenario grows to over 5,400 billion Euros in 2030 and even 7,500 billion Euros in the 2°-scenario.
The export of climate action goods from Germany is growing annually - in real terms – by 3.7% (BAU-scenario) or 6.1% (2°-scenario). The exports to other EU countries and to BRICS countries are growing below average. The additional exports lead to a GDP that is 1% higher in the 2°-scenario in 2030 than in the BAU-scenario. In 2030, around 110,000 additional jobs are created.
The study analyses also case examples of attractive export markets and successfully exporting companies and draws policy recommendations from that.