Climate change is the ultimate risk multiplier - adelphi and other leading think tanks have shared this scientific insight in their report for the G7 in 2015 (A New Climate for Peace). Some of the climate-induced risks described in the report have exacerbated ever since, while the international community has made some progress. At the Planetary Security Conference from 5 to 6 December 2016 more than 300 international policymakers and scientists convene to discuss effective initiatives to address climate-fragility risks. This input report takes stock of key developments since the publishing of the independent report A New Climate For Peace. It provides a concise risk horizon scan, and an overview and assessment of key policy developments in 2015 and 2016 that are of relevance for addressing climate-fragility risks and fostering the global resilience agenda.
Developments in 2015 and 2016 confirm the risk assessment of A New Climate For Peace. The intersection of accelerating impacts of climate change, the continuing increase in numbers of armed conflicts and deepening geopolitical rivalries create a deeply unsettling new normal. At the same time the international community has shown that it can act together to address global problems.